If you’ve been a reader of Football Weblog for a while, you already know that we provide the most accurate fantasy football kicker rankings found anywhere. We’ve shown through regression analysis that a kicker’s accuracy or his ability to kick long-range field goals have little bearing on his propensity to score points. The key to finding the highest scoring fantasy football kickers hinges on identifying kickers that hail from teams that score the most points and win the most games. (See “Using the Science of Statistics to Select a Fantasy Kicker”.)
Applying this concept results in Football Weblog’s 2014 Preseason Kicker Cheatsheet. (See below.) As you can see, several kickers are ranked very differently from the so-called fantasy football “experts”. For example, most other generic “cookie-cutter” cheatsheets rank Justin Tucker, Blair Walsh, and Sebastian Janikowski quite high, while Alex Henery, Mike Nugent, and Graham Gano are low on the totem pole. Time will tell the accuracy of these numbers, but I’ll put my money on the science of statistics rather than gut feelings or past history.
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